The stock market kicked off the new year with a bang by posting solid gains on the first trading day of 2012 as investors sent their cash back to work in hopes that an improving U.S. economy may end the financial turbulence that characterized 2011.
Fresh data Tuesday seemed to confirm a series of earlier reports, including last month’s sharp drop in the jobless rate, that the economy is slowly mending. U.S. manufacturers ended 2011 with the strongest showing since late spring. A rise in new orders suggested that momentum could carry over into 2012. Spending on construction projects rose for the third time in four months.
Minutes from the latest meeting of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee found the central bankers in a slightly more upbeat mood. At its December meeting, the committee noted that hiring has picked up, though slowly. And central bankers were encouraged that inflation remains moderate, even as consumers are spending more.
Veteran traders, though, aren’t unbuckling their seat belts just yet.
“There is an old line down here about commuting by roller coaster: It's the safest form of transportation in the world but it's not going get you anywhere,” said Art Cashin, UBS head of trading at the New York Stock Exchange. “So you have to be careful of these patterns.”
Stock prices ended the day with strong gains, with the Dow Jones industrial average up 179.82 points or 1.5 percent at 12,297, and broader indexes also sharply higher.
Tuesday’s relief rally in stocks also followed better-than-expected economic news from abroad. The unemployment rate in Germany, Europe's biggest economy, fell more than expected in December, and a widely watched report on manufacturing growth in China helped ease fears of a global economic slowdown.
"The beginning of the year tends to start out positive as people want to put money to work, but the overseas data can't be overstated in its importance, especially since the U.S. data has been so strong as well," said Sal Catrini, a managing director for equities at Cantor Fitzgerald & Co in New York. "All this positive momentum is very positive going into the new year."
Financial stocks, which have been battered lately by fears of another banking crisis, were among the market leaders. Stocks of stodgier utilities, where defensive investors typically go to hide, fell 1.4 percent. About 80 percent of the companies trading on the NYSE rose; while three-fourths of Nasdaq-listed shares posted gains. Trading was heavy as more than 3 billion shares changed hands. Much of the surge came early in the day, as European investors got the party started. European stocks closed at a five-month high.
Stock watchers caution that further gains in 2012 are going to depend heavily on a series of troublesome unknowns. Despite the relatively good news from Germany, the European economy is expected to slip into recession in the coming months as deep budget cuts in the weaker “peripheral” economies begin to take hold. As they struggle to recover from massive borrowing sprees, governments from Spain to Greece are applying sever austerity measures, including large cutbacks in spending and layoffs of government workers, both of which are expected to stifle economic growth.
Closer to home, uncertainty about U.S. government policies has prompted many companies to take a defensive posture.
“We have our own problems here with leadership going into an election. We really don’t have much policy directive here,” said Brian Battle, director of trading at Performance Trust Capital Partners. "So this is probably going to be unchanged here in the U.S. until we get closer to November and we figure out who’s going to be in charge.”
Small business owners recently told msnbc.com that the political gridlock in Washington is the big threat to their prospects for growth.
Some stock market forecasters are already predicting that 2012 will bring another year of sideways trading.
At Morgan Stanley, U.S. equity strategist Adam Parker figures the market will end the year 7 percent lower, as measured by the S&P 500. He cites recent forecasts from bellwether companies like FedEx and Intel, cutting their profit outlook. He also notes that the problems in Europe have pushed the dollar substantially higher, which makes U.S. products more expensive in overseas markets, where a big chunk of those profits have been coming from.
Despite Tuesday’s encouraging economic news from Europe and China, Parker is among those who expect to see the global economy losing steam in 2012.
“Virtually every economy in the world, maybe outside of Japan, will see decelerating (gross domestic product) in the next couple of quarters,” he said. “So you're going to have that sensation that things are slowing.”



This can mean only one thing the filthy rich are about to raid your retirement investments again.
John: I'm ALSO going to raid your investments. :)
that and when the banks require the money paid back by all the people who put all their christmas gifts on credit card... oh the gig will be up. but hey... GOTTA HAVE THAT IPAD2
im just sitting back out of the market and watching you fools
Jay: are you not an investor at all? Or do you just wait for a crash and snap stuff up cheap? Not a bad plan if that's the case. Worked pretty well after the 2008 crash.
Sold about 1 / 3 of my portfolio today after a nice runup.
Not professionally but I have been in and out after the clowns in washington watched our credit rating fall to $#!t. I was out before then too.
25 years of socialism in Europe is paying its dues and the Piper has come home for your children. Its what they signed up for. Im a big fan of socialism.... it works great in Star Trek, problem is they have replicators for food and we dont. Kinda makes the thing work. You cant fix human intuition which is 'mine comes first', its a fact. Just keep giving me your money as you pump it in.
The "sharp drop" in unemployment claims did not account for those who bowed out. There is no accurate measure to monitor the actual data for it as we speaks. What good is the statistics? Don't fool thyself and thy fellow Americans.
The data is still comparable month to month as it is calculated the same. It counts those that are receiving benefits, but not actually looking for work which is probably a significant number, so... just mentioning those that have dropped off is not exactly painting an accurate picture. As long as they calculate the number the same, that is all that matters. Hiring has certainly picked up where I am.
You can bet that if the stock market does well for the next month the stimulus that Obama spent so much on had nothing to do with it. Free enterprise is what does it.
If the economy stays in the gutter it's Obama's fault. If it manages to climb out, it's not his doing. argumentum sine logicam
The economy being in the gutter may not be entirely Obama's fault. If it climbs out, you can also bet he has nothing to do with it. One of the most anti-business presidents ever.
Funny... they don't want to give Obama any credit unless it is bad. Turns out we responded better to the crisis than most in the world. Trickle down doesn't work -- let the rich earn their money.
The Reason That Stocks Are Up And The Economy Is Looking Up Is Obama Has Shut Up!!
Why do we use terms like "filthy rich", "filthy middle class", or "filthy poor"? What value do terms like these add?
Simple answer....It's called....SLANG!!!!
The fact that the stock market took off is a good sign. That means that investors are confident that President Obama, who hates America and who has been trying to ruin America, won't be re-elected.
Wake up Doug, wake up. Considering the direction we were headed when your boy Bush left office... the President has not been very successful at ruining America. Pretty good job of limiting the damage if you ask me. The US has had it easy compared to many and the Obama Administration has limited the damage. But accepting the truth just wouldn't be that fun now would it.
"Good economic goods". Let's count my "Blessings". LOST: My credit rating score(thank you Wall Streeters, and Big 3 credit reporting agencies). LOST: My job. LOST: My savings. LOST: My home. LOST: My unemployment. LOST: Hope. LOST, EFFECTIVE opportunities. LOST: Interest. LOST: Listening to O-BumMER. LOST: My country...TO ILLEGALS FROM MEXICO, and Points South. LOST All that I own.
But at least, I haven't LOST.......... MY GUNS!!!!!!
Caution boys and girls! Stocks are bait to catch and fry little fish. The final and only choice you have is how you prefer to be served...broiled, baked, pan fried, or just plain raw.
Wall Street has nothing good to offer the 150,000,000 people hovering at or below the poverty level...staggering numbers!
Domingo, it sounds like you have already been defeated. As long as you believe you can not succeed - you won't - and shouldn't try. Most don't succeed in the market because they simply don't have a plan... then panic... then sell low. That is not the markets fault, some people are just not cut out for it.
My expectation is that the stock market will continue doing what it did all last year: up today and down tomorrow, ultimately going nowhere. The only people with a chance to make money are the insiders and day-traders that can afford to spend every day playing at the stock market "casino".
Yup good news abounds. Europe on the brink of collapse. Interest rates on savings non existent. Jobless and underemployed people at record levels. Foreclosures at a runaway pace. Your house value now declining every year. College costs thru the roof. Yes you morons at BSNBC ya got it right Good news abounds. What kind of a$$hole falls for this bull$hit?