Google interest in Yahoo might be head fake

The battle for Yahoo is heating up.

When Jack Ma, chairman of Chinese e-commerce company Alibaba Group, announced last month that he wanted to buy Yahoo! — which itself owns 40 percent of Alibaba — he touched off a frenzy of tire-kicking by entities ranging from private equity firms to Microsoft. Media outlets including the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal have cited unnamed sources who say Microsoft is in talks with a consortium of investors including private equity firm Silver Lake Partners, but it's not the only tech giant eyeing Yahoo. Microsoft's archrival Google also is reported by those same publications to be exploring strategic options, although the word at this point is unofficial and informal.

(Msnbc.com is a joint venture of Microsoft and NBC Universal.)

Google doesn't actually want Yahoo, says Scott Kessler, Internet equity analyst at S&P Capital IQ. The company just doesn't want Microsoft, with its rival Bing search engine, to get its hands on any Yahoo assets that could threaten Google's search dominance.

"The fact that you have a player potentially like Microsoft means that Google at least needs to get involved at some level, if for no other reasons to know what's going on," he says. "Google is inclined to get involved because they're concerned about Microsoft having a place in this process and potentially having a lot to say about Yahoo's future."

Reports of Google's interest could be a strategic advantage for Yahoo, since it would likely drive up the eventual price. Of course, Google wouldn't mind driving up the price for any acquisition Microsoft might make.

Even if Google wanted to acquire any part of Yahoo outright, such a deal would be unlikely to pass muster with antitrust regulators, analysts say. Google and Yahoo tried to form an advertising partnership in 2008 and abandoned the effort after getting strong signals that the Department of Justice would work to block the deal. Regulators would be more likely to look favorably on a Yahoo-Microsoft partnership, which is what worries Google — another reason for the company to get involved.

While Yahoo's content and user base might be an attractive addition to Google, which previously acquired YouTube, Kessler thinks it's unlikely that Google would try to buy Yahoo assets like Flickr on a piecemeal basis. Google's end game would be monetization of the user traffic via advertising sales, so a takeover of any part of Yahoo's core business would run into the same antitrust objections Google has experienced before, he said.

If Google does have a genuine interest in Yahoo, it has a couple of options. Google might view Yahoo's Alibaba connection as a way into the Asian market. "I could see a scenario where Google is maybe more interested in some of the other assets like the international investments in Japan and China," Kessler says. Despite a years-long, often politically fraught effort, Google has failed to establish much of a presence in China, so this could be an opportunity to grow there.

Ironically, Google does have a business interest in keeping Yahoo healthy. Like the Joker to Google's Batman, having a slightly less powerful rival establishes a kind of equilibrium. Kessler points out that when Apple was on the ropes shortly after reinstating Steve Jobs in what was viewed at the time as a last-ditch effort to turn the company around, Microsoft made a substantial investment in its smaller rival. Without Yahoo, Google would face even greater legal challenges to its market dominance.

Discuss this post

I don't care who you are, leave my YAHOO alone!!!!!

    Reply#1 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 9:14 AM EDT

    Turning in to another liberal mouthpiece, won't be long and George S will have his own ass kissing liberals internet show.

      Reply#2 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 9:56 AM EDT

      As watchers already know, the only thing that can drive the price of Yahoo stock higher is the rumor mill. Watch the quarterly report for strengths and weaknesses. Good luck!

        Reply#3 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 10:32 AM EDT

        I personally hope Google get's Yahoo. That not only would make it the dominate search engine, it will make Andriod that much better!

        • 1 vote
        Reply#4 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 10:56 AM EDT

        I don't use google for a search engine and I dispise yahoo. I have had experiences with them (yahoo) and I wanted so much to get my hands around their throats and squeeze. I hope google is smarter then that to want yahoo for any reason. Wouldn't wish yapoop on an enemy.

        • 1 vote
        Reply#5 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 11:06 AM EDT

        gun, Yahoo has strict censorship of certain entries in comments; opensecrets.org to name one.

          #5.1 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 4:05 PM EDT
          Reply

          "Ironically, Google does have a business interest in keeping Yahoo healthy. Like the Joker to Google's Batman, having a slightly less powerful rival establishes a kind of equilibrium."

          This is an overstatement of epic proportions! Having a slightly less powerful rival...how about having a virtually non existent rival. Yahoo isn't the Joker to Google's Batman! It's more like Killer Croc or maybe Mr. Freeze to Google's Batman but in no way can you consider Yahoo Joker here.

            Reply#6 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 11:30 AM EDT

            Maybe if Google took over Yahoo, they could force them to end their policy of censoring certain references by those who post "comments" at Yahoo News; i.e. opensecrets.org

            Obviously, information worth hiding by the Powers that Be.

              Reply#7 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 3:56 PM EDT

              Simply put, its called greed.

                Reply#8 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 5:10 PM EDT

                Yahoooooooo! please don't change.I'm new to this "freedom of expression" and you need to guide me. I've used Yahoo@.com for years for e-mail but only recently have enjoyed the open forum you have, just for me, haha. I don't need to have any help from any other entities, large or small, no matter how they say it will improve 'my' way of life. Said, I need help with my profile, stats, info., whatever you need to help me get heard. I have a LOT to say. Google, et al, leave my Yahoo alone. Mr. Fix

                  Reply#9 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 6:14 PM EDT

                  Haha. "need to fix anything". I love you Yahoo.

                    Reply#10 - Tue Oct 25, 2011 6:19 PM EDT
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